Wednesday, May 20, 2015
111 properties were sold yesterday in this market
please check the link below for details.
http://matrix.crebtools.com/Matrix/Public/Portal.aspx?ID=171988776#1
http://matrix.crebtools.com/Matrix/Public/Portal.aspx?ID=171988776#1
Friday, May 15, 2015
Friday, May 1, 2015
2015年四月份统计
房价停涨，致使挂牌量减低
--- 提高的成交量/挂牌量比率， 减缓了库存可售房源的继续增加
Calgary，五月一日- 这是持续第五个月份市场基准价一路走低，新挂牌量停在3064套，比2014年的四月份同期降低18%。
在目前市场上仅有少数买家购买的情况下，加上二手房市场、开发商新建房、租赁市场的改善，卖方要么调整对价格的预期、要么延缓上市时间。四月份共售出1957套，比2014年同期降了22%，比长线市场均值低了近15%！尽管成交量降低，但是新挂牌量也降低，这样阻止了库存可售房源的大幅增长，帮助提升了市场消化率。
在市场继续向买家倾斜的状况下，本月供给/新挂牌比率、成交/新挂牌比率都挺吃紧。如果继续保持这个趋势，就能够抑制二手房库存继续增长到前一次高点，从而缓解价格下滑。
独栋/detached的房屋四月份市场基准价为$510，200, 比上个月微调低0.7%，比2014年四月份高了1.9%。同时公寓的市场基准价比上个月、去年同期分别调低0.7%，0.2%。（这里大家要注意了，3月10日以来，卡尔加里启用了新系统，不再讲独立屋、排屋、公寓了，而是detached, attached, apartments。 那么究竟这次报告中提及的市场基准价是不是和2014年的detached相比，不得而知了啊？！ 大家也就看看热闹罢了）
今年公寓市场到目前为止降了33%，新挂牌涨了近8%。尽管新挂牌量调整了，但是月度总计供给仍然提升了，导致了价格的继续走低、以及年度价格之间的调整。
在整个房地产产品段供给都提升的状况下，买家不再苍茫仓促地购买了，他们差不多赛遍了所有的可选产品段才下手。 而卖家呢，就面临更多的竞争对手，所以需要知道所在社区的竞争房源、替代房源的交易情况。
独栋房屋仍然处于比较均衡的市场态势，这是第二个月了，成交量/新挂牌量、成交量/库存可售量保持相对均衡态势。但是大家要注意到不同价位段之间还是有差别的。 （个人感觉普通社区70万以上的买家因为有地方住了，所以不是很热衷于目前的市场，观望气氛浓重。同时房检人员也有同感。）
高价位段独栋屋在整个城市区域都有明显成交量下滑，简而言之，需求降低了。在失业率增加的状况下，我们也不足为奇了。收入高的买家减少了。
同时周边城镇也开始受经济走缓的影响了，前四个月份共售出1346套，比去年同期降了26%。总之，市场的变化对于价格的影响受房屋地段、物业类别、物业特有特点、可替代房源等等因素的影响，各有不同。 买家、卖家都要知道各自的市场状况，从而调整心理预期。
--- 提高的成交量/挂牌量比率， 减缓了库存可售房源的继续增加
Calgary，五月一日- 这是持续第五个月份市场基准价一路走低，新挂牌量停在3064套，比2014年的四月份同期降低18%。
在目前市场上仅有少数买家购买的情况下，加上二手房市场、开发商新建房、租赁市场的改善，卖方要么调整对价格的预期、要么延缓上市时间。四月份共售出1957套，比2014年同期降了22%，比长线市场均值低了近15%！尽管成交量降低，但是新挂牌量也降低，这样阻止了库存可售房源的大幅增长，帮助提升了市场消化率。
在市场继续向买家倾斜的状况下，本月供给/新挂牌比率、成交/新挂牌比率都挺吃紧。如果继续保持这个趋势，就能够抑制二手房库存继续增长到前一次高点，从而缓解价格下滑。
独栋/detached的房屋四月份市场基准价为$510，200, 比上个月微调低0.7%，比2014年四月份高了1.9%。同时公寓的市场基准价比上个月、去年同期分别调低0.7%，0.2%。（这里大家要注意了，3月10日以来，卡尔加里启用了新系统，不再讲独立屋、排屋、公寓了，而是detached, attached, apartments。 那么究竟这次报告中提及的市场基准价是不是和2014年的detached相比，不得而知了啊？！ 大家也就看看热闹罢了）
今年公寓市场到目前为止降了33%，新挂牌涨了近8%。尽管新挂牌量调整了，但是月度总计供给仍然提升了，导致了价格的继续走低、以及年度价格之间的调整。
在整个房地产产品段供给都提升的状况下，买家不再苍茫仓促地购买了，他们差不多赛遍了所有的可选产品段才下手。 而卖家呢，就面临更多的竞争对手，所以需要知道所在社区的竞争房源、替代房源的交易情况。
独栋房屋仍然处于比较均衡的市场态势，这是第二个月了，成交量/新挂牌量、成交量/库存可售量保持相对均衡态势。但是大家要注意到不同价位段之间还是有差别的。 （个人感觉普通社区70万以上的买家因为有地方住了，所以不是很热衷于目前的市场，观望气氛浓重。同时房检人员也有同感。）
高价位段独栋屋在整个城市区域都有明显成交量下滑，简而言之，需求降低了。在失业率增加的状况下，我们也不足为奇了。收入高的买家减少了。
同时周边城镇也开始受经济走缓的影响了，前四个月份共售出1346套，比去年同期降了26%。总之，市场的变化对于价格的影响受房屋地段、物业类别、物业特有特点、可替代房源等等因素的影响，各有不同。 买家、卖家都要知道各自的市场状况，从而调整心理预期。
SOLD 西北区 Evanston 独栋小楼 $450,000
457 EVANSTON DR NW C4002238
**WELCOME TO 213 NEW BRIGHTON LANE SE**. Absolutely STUNNING, MODERN AND STYLISH, GORGEOUSLY UPGRADED HOME, shows like a BRAND NEW HOME!. Nothing else to be done, this home is PRISTINE and IMMACULATELY KEPT, enjoy the NEW LUXURY UPGRADES and EUROPEAN CONTEMPORARY ELEGANCE. TASTEFULLY PRESENTED, MODERN layout, NEW GLEAMING HARDWOOD floor, NEW FIREPLACE, BRAND NEW KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW TOP QUALITY STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES,NEW WASHER/DRYER, INSULATED, FINISHED GARAGE. Upper floor LARGE BONUS ROOM, MASTER SUITE with W/I CLOSET, ENSUITE BATH (soaker tub, separate shower). Unspoiled basement (R/I plumbing, professional wiring and additional lighting) ready for your creativity. SUNNY SOUTHEAST BACKYARD, LARGE DECK, NICE FENCE. New Brighton offers GREAT AMENITIES with HOCKEY RINK, TENNIS, CLUB HOUSE, KIDS CLUB, WATER POOL, future NEW SCHOOL and ATHLETIC PARK. Close to shops, bus stop 1 block away, new Daycare Centre just steps away, 15 min to DT. TRULY A FABULOUS HOME!.
**WELCOME TO 213 NEW BRIGHTON LANE SE**. Absolutely STUNNING, MODERN AND STYLISH, GORGEOUSLY UPGRADED HOME, shows like a BRAND NEW HOME!. Nothing else to be done, this home is PRISTINE and IMMACULATELY KEPT, enjoy the NEW LUXURY UPGRADES and EUROPEAN CONTEMPORARY ELEGANCE. TASTEFULLY PRESENTED, MODERN layout, NEW GLEAMING HARDWOOD floor, NEW FIREPLACE, BRAND NEW KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW TOP QUALITY STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES,NEW WASHER/DRYER, INSULATED, FINISHED GARAGE. Upper floor LARGE BONUS ROOM, MASTER SUITE with W/I CLOSET, ENSUITE BATH (soaker tub, separate shower). Unspoiled basement (R/I plumbing, professional wiring and additional lighting) ready for your creativity. SUNNY SOUTHEAST BACKYARD, LARGE DECK, NICE FENCE. New Brighton offers GREAT AMENITIES with HOCKEY RINK, TENNIS, CLUB HOUSE, KIDS CLUB, WATER POOL, future NEW SCHOOL and ATHLETIC PARK. Close to shops, bus stop 1 block away, new Daycare Centre just steps away, 15 min to DT. TRULY A FABULOUS HOME!.
SOLD 东南新区 New Brighton 两层楼前置双车库 $479,300
213 New Brighton LN S.E. C3655030
**WELCOME TO 213 NEW BRIGHTON LANE SE**. Absolutely STUNNING, MODERN AND STYLISH, GORGEOUSLY UPGRADED HOME, shows like a BRAND NEW HOME!. Nothing else to be done, this home is PRISTINE and IMMACULATELY KEPT, enjoy the NEW LUXURY UPGRADES and EUROPEAN CONTEMPORARY ELEGANCE. TASTEFULLY PRESENTED, MODERN layout, NEW GLEAMING HARDWOOD floor, NEW FIREPLACE, BRAND NEW KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW TOP QUALITY STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES,NEW WASHER/DRYER, INSULATED, FINISHED GARAGE. Upper floor LARGE BONUS ROOM, MASTER SUITE with W/I CLOSET, ENSUITE BATH (soaker tub, separate shower). Unspoiled basement (R/I plumbing, professional wiring and additional lighting) ready for your creativity. SUNNY SOUTHEAST BACKYARD, LARGE DECK, NICE FENCE. New Brighton offers GREAT AMENITIES with HOCKEY RINK, TENNIS, CLUB HOUSE, KIDS CLUB, WATER POOL, future NEW SCHOOL and ATHLETIC PARK. Close to shops, bus stop 1 block away, new Daycare Centre just steps away, 15 min to DT. TRULY A FABULOUS HOME!.
**WELCOME TO 213 NEW BRIGHTON LANE SE**. Absolutely STUNNING, MODERN AND STYLISH, GORGEOUSLY UPGRADED HOME, shows like a BRAND NEW HOME!. Nothing else to be done, this home is PRISTINE and IMMACULATELY KEPT, enjoy the NEW LUXURY UPGRADES and EUROPEAN CONTEMPORARY ELEGANCE. TASTEFULLY PRESENTED, MODERN layout, NEW GLEAMING HARDWOOD floor, NEW FIREPLACE, BRAND NEW KITCHEN, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, NEW TOP QUALITY STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES,NEW WASHER/DRYER, INSULATED, FINISHED GARAGE. Upper floor LARGE BONUS ROOM, MASTER SUITE with W/I CLOSET, ENSUITE BATH (soaker tub, separate shower). Unspoiled basement (R/I plumbing, professional wiring and additional lighting) ready for your creativity. SUNNY SOUTHEAST BACKYARD, LARGE DECK, NICE FENCE. New Brighton offers GREAT AMENITIES with HOCKEY RINK, TENNIS, CLUB HOUSE, KIDS CLUB, WATER POOL, future NEW SCHOOL and ATHLETIC PARK. Close to shops, bus stop 1 block away, new Daycare Centre just steps away, 15 min to DT. TRULY A FABULOUS HOME!.
Housing sales decline for fifth straight month in Calgary
For the fifth consecutive month, Calgary’s resale housing market has experienced a significant year-over-year decline in sales.
Statistics from the Calgary Real Estate Board indicate there were 1,963 MLS transactions in April, down 22.7 per cent from the same month a year ago. Meanwhile, new listings fell by 18.1 per cent to 3,074. The market saw prices drop with the median of $419,900 off by 2.1 per cent from last year, while the average fell by 1.7 per cent to $470,499.
The number of active listings at the end of April was 5,598, up 46.5 per cent, while the average days on market to sell a property rose from 27 last year to 40 in April — an increase of 48.2 per cent.
“Conditions are still deteriorating. Sales are down . . . The pace of decline has slowed a little bit but you’re still seeing sales activity probably about 40 per cent or so below what we were seeing in mid-2014,” said Robert Kavcic, senior economist with BMO Capital Markets. “Then on the supply side that’s where it gets a little tougher because new listings have actually come off a little bit. There was a big spike in new listings around the turn of the year but they have started to slow a little bit now. That’s good.
“But the fact sales are still falling at a faster pace than new listings suggest the market balance is still turning against sellers even more,” Kavcic said.
“I think you’re going to see prices weaken still probably through the better part of the year. You’ve seen such a big jump in your supply of homes in the market, not just in Calgary but across the province. You’ve got to be pretty brave to be buying a home in the province at this point before we see some kind of sign that oil prices are picking up on a more sustained basis.”
Calgary’s housing market began to turn around in December as the reality of the oil price shock sunk in. Sales that month were down 7.5 per cent from December 2013 as new listings soared by 41.9 per cent.
That set the stage for this year. Year-over-year sales were down by 38.9 per cent in January, by 34.2 per cent in February and by 28.2 per cent in March.
New listings rose by 37.2 per cent in January followed by an 8.8 per cent hike in February. March saw the trend change, though, with new listings off by 5.5 per cent compared with a year ago.
“The sense I get is that things appear to be stabilizing. On a year-over-year basis, over the last two, maybe three months, it doesn’t look like things are getting any worse in terms of the decline relative to last year,” said Robert Hogue, senior economist with RBC Economics. “There might be, on a month-to-month basis, some kind of more stability. Maybe the market has found some kind of bottom. I’m not suggesting they’re going to be booming back up but at least the big letdown might be over for the time being.”
“That tells me that sellers aren’t flooding the market in desperation. People still hold well-paying jobs, interest rates are at historical lows, and there’s still optimism on the street. Look at the 50/50 at a Flames playoff game, or bar and restaurant receipts, which are up seven per cent year-over-year. We’re a resilient place,” he said.
“And Calgary home sellers are a typically hardy bunch. They’re not the sort to seize on a lower offer just because a national news story says the market’s going to hell. Calgary home sellers regard the market like they do the weather: if you don’t like the conditions, wait a while. It might get worse before it gets better, but it will get better eventually.”
But Bollinger said the one thing that could trip up optimism is the labour market.
“If oil prices stay in the tank and the big downtown towers cut budgets and staff, that’ll impact the housing market’s stability. That said, there are encouraging signs that oil prices have seen the worst of it,” he said, adding the immediate outlook for Calgary’s housing market is flat prices, general stability, and some pockets of weakness, in apartment-style condos and, on the other end of the spectrum, some luxury homes.
mtoneguzzi@calgaryherald.com
Twitter.com/MTone123
Statistics from the Calgary Real Estate Board indicate there were 1,963 MLS transactions in April, down 22.7 per cent from the same month a year ago. Meanwhile, new listings fell by 18.1 per cent to 3,074. The market saw prices drop with the median of $419,900 off by 2.1 per cent from last year, while the average fell by 1.7 per cent to $470,499.
The number of active listings at the end of April was 5,598, up 46.5 per cent, while the average days on market to sell a property rose from 27 last year to 40 in April — an increase of 48.2 per cent.
“Conditions are still deteriorating. Sales are down . . . The pace of decline has slowed a little bit but you’re still seeing sales activity probably about 40 per cent or so below what we were seeing in mid-2014,” said Robert Kavcic, senior economist with BMO Capital Markets. “Then on the supply side that’s where it gets a little tougher because new listings have actually come off a little bit. There was a big spike in new listings around the turn of the year but they have started to slow a little bit now. That’s good.
“But the fact sales are still falling at a faster pace than new listings suggest the market balance is still turning against sellers even more,” Kavcic said.
“I think you’re going to see prices weaken still probably through the better part of the year. You’ve seen such a big jump in your supply of homes in the market, not just in Calgary but across the province. You’ve got to be pretty brave to be buying a home in the province at this point before we see some kind of sign that oil prices are picking up on a more sustained basis.”
Calgary’s housing market began to turn around in December as the reality of the oil price shock sunk in. Sales that month were down 7.5 per cent from December 2013 as new listings soared by 41.9 per cent.
That set the stage for this year. Year-over-year sales were down by 38.9 per cent in January, by 34.2 per cent in February and by 28.2 per cent in March.
New listings rose by 37.2 per cent in January followed by an 8.8 per cent hike in February. March saw the trend change, though, with new listings off by 5.5 per cent compared with a year ago.
“The sense I get is that things appear to be stabilizing. On a year-over-year basis, over the last two, maybe three months, it doesn’t look like things are getting any worse in terms of the decline relative to last year,” said Robert Hogue, senior economist with RBC Economics. “There might be, on a month-to-month basis, some kind of more stability. Maybe the market has found some kind of bottom. I’m not suggesting they’re going to be booming back up but at least the big letdown might be over for the time being.”
“That tells me that sellers aren’t flooding the market in desperation. People still hold well-paying jobs, interest rates are at historical lows, and there’s still optimism on the street. Look at the 50/50 at a Flames playoff game, or bar and restaurant receipts, which are up seven per cent year-over-year. We’re a resilient place,” he said.
“And Calgary home sellers are a typically hardy bunch. They’re not the sort to seize on a lower offer just because a national news story says the market’s going to hell. Calgary home sellers regard the market like they do the weather: if you don’t like the conditions, wait a while. It might get worse before it gets better, but it will get better eventually.”
But Bollinger said the one thing that could trip up optimism is the labour market.
“If oil prices stay in the tank and the big downtown towers cut budgets and staff, that’ll impact the housing market’s stability. That said, there are encouraging signs that oil prices have seen the worst of it,” he said, adding the immediate outlook for Calgary’s housing market is flat prices, general stability, and some pockets of weakness, in apartment-style condos and, on the other end of the spectrum, some luxury homes.
mtoneguzzi@calgaryherald.com
Twitter.com/MTone123
New condo sales in Calgary plunge from year ago level
Calgary’s new condo market has been facing huge headwinds since the start of 2015 with sales plunging by 61 per cent in the first quarter compared with the same period a year ago, says a new report by Altus Group Limited.
The report said there have been 523 transactions in the first three months of 2015, which is also 53 per cent lower than the average of the past five years. But sales remain higher than the 2008-2010 period.
“Consumer confidence took a beating over Q1 as the impact of the oil prices downturn sunk into the market mentality,” said Ian Meredith, residential advisory consultant with Altus Group in Calgary. “The drop in absorption resulted from a combination of the investor segment disappearing, owner-occupiers without a need to buy opting to stay on the fence, and the increased MLS inventory eroding the competitive position of the new condo market.”
The report said several new projects were launched in the first quarter to mixed results.
“Sales launch activity is substantially weaker than the past few years, with investors having effectively exited the market for the time being,” it said.
The report said projects not finding the same levels of success at launch combined with weakened absorption at existing projects resulted in the available inventory of new condominium supplies increasing to over 2,700 units, the highest level since 2008.
“Whether or not the trend continues is reliant on some positive employment and oil-price messages permeating the market so as to push buyers off the fence and entice the investor segment back in,” said Meredith. “The seasonal effect almost always pushes Q2 numbers above Q1, but the extent to which this occurs is reliant on some positive macro-economic news. Based on Q1 results, the market is on track for 2,000 sales in 2015, in-line with 2010 but still less than half the average volume of the past four years.”
Felicia Mutheardy, acting principal market analyst for Calgary for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., said the city has seen a decline in multiple family starts this year.
“ The decline in starts in the first quarter is attributed to fewer condominium apartment starts, which were 28 per cent lower year-over-year,” she said. “It is important to note that in 2014, multi-family starts reached a record high, supported by strong net migration and employment growth. Multi-family starts for 2015 and 2016 were not expected to surpass this record due to slower in-flows of migration and moderating employment growth. In addition, since the latter half of 2014, low oil prices have introduced a high degree of economic uncertainty, which has eased housing demand further.
“Buyers in the market may be taking a bit more time to make their purchasing decision due to this uncertainty. For some, they may choose to purchase an existing home instead of a new unit, particularly given the recent increases in supply on the existing home market. ”
According to CMHC, multi-family starts in Calgary were down by 29.1 per cent in the first quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014.
“CMHC is forecasting lower multi-family starts in 2015 and 2016 due to reduced net migration and weaker employment growth,” said Mutheardy. “Given current economic conditions and outlooks, risks to the forecast are currently weighted on the downside. In 2015, CMHC expects multi-family starts to decline 30 per cent year-over-year to 7,500 units, followed by a further reduction to 6,200 in 2016.”
mtoneguzzi@calgaryherald.com
Twitter.com/MTone123
The report said there have been 523 transactions in the first three months of 2015, which is also 53 per cent lower than the average of the past five years. But sales remain higher than the 2008-2010 period.
“Consumer confidence took a beating over Q1 as the impact of the oil prices downturn sunk into the market mentality,” said Ian Meredith, residential advisory consultant with Altus Group in Calgary. “The drop in absorption resulted from a combination of the investor segment disappearing, owner-occupiers without a need to buy opting to stay on the fence, and the increased MLS inventory eroding the competitive position of the new condo market.”
The report said several new projects were launched in the first quarter to mixed results.
“Sales launch activity is substantially weaker than the past few years, with investors having effectively exited the market for the time being,” it said.
The report said projects not finding the same levels of success at launch combined with weakened absorption at existing projects resulted in the available inventory of new condominium supplies increasing to over 2,700 units, the highest level since 2008.
“Whether or not the trend continues is reliant on some positive employment and oil-price messages permeating the market so as to push buyers off the fence and entice the investor segment back in,” said Meredith. “The seasonal effect almost always pushes Q2 numbers above Q1, but the extent to which this occurs is reliant on some positive macro-economic news. Based on Q1 results, the market is on track for 2,000 sales in 2015, in-line with 2010 but still less than half the average volume of the past four years.”
Felicia Mutheardy, acting principal market analyst for Calgary for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., said the city has seen a decline in multiple family starts this year.
“ The decline in starts in the first quarter is attributed to fewer condominium apartment starts, which were 28 per cent lower year-over-year,” she said. “It is important to note that in 2014, multi-family starts reached a record high, supported by strong net migration and employment growth. Multi-family starts for 2015 and 2016 were not expected to surpass this record due to slower in-flows of migration and moderating employment growth. In addition, since the latter half of 2014, low oil prices have introduced a high degree of economic uncertainty, which has eased housing demand further.
“Buyers in the market may be taking a bit more time to make their purchasing decision due to this uncertainty. For some, they may choose to purchase an existing home instead of a new unit, particularly given the recent increases in supply on the existing home market. ”
According to CMHC, multi-family starts in Calgary were down by 29.1 per cent in the first quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014.
“CMHC is forecasting lower multi-family starts in 2015 and 2016 due to reduced net migration and weaker employment growth,” said Mutheardy. “Given current economic conditions and outlooks, risks to the forecast are currently weighted on the downside. In 2015, CMHC expects multi-family starts to decline 30 per cent year-over-year to 7,500 units, followed by a further reduction to 6,200 in 2016.”
mtoneguzzi@calgaryherald.com
Twitter.com/MTone123
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